New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-03-15 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 4 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 51.7%

NYR: 48.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.29

NYR: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	21	17	4	81.0%	3.42	2	-0.58
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	21	21	0	100.0%	3.32	3	3.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CBJ at home vs NYR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	CBJ 6 - 3 NYR	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-02	NYR 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-15	CBJ 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	CBJ
2025-03-15	CBJ 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	CBJ
2025-03-09	NYR 3 - 7 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	12	1	1.12
1	NYR	9	0	0.66
2	CBJ	11	1	1.04
2	NYR	16	1	1.63
3	CBJ	14	1	1.16
3	NYR	8	1	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1