St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-03-15 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

MIN: 45.0%

STL: 55.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.66

STL: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 40%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	28	23	5	82.1%	5.03	7	0.03
STL	Joel Hofer	18	17	1	94.4%	2.14	0	1.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • MIN at home vs STL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	MIN
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.94
1	STL	14	2	1.33
2	MIN	11	0	0.53
2	STL	13	2	1.42
3	MIN	13	0	0.68
3	STL	20	3	2.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.7 - 3.3