St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-03-15 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 55.2%
STL: 44.8%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.80
STL: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | MIN | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.762 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • MIN at home vs STL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-09 | STL 0 - 5 MIN | MIN | STL |
| 2025-03-15 | MIN 1 - 5 STL | STL | MIN |
| 2025-01-07 | MIN 6 - 4 STL | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-11-19 | STL 2 - 4 MIN | MIN | STL |
| 2024-10-15 | STL 1 - 4 MIN | MIN | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:17 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:51 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:22 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:47 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:30 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:40 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 2.8 - 3.0