Anaheim Ducks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-03-16 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 7 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

STL: 66.0%

ANA: 34.0%

Expected Goals

STL: 4.21

ANA: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	25	23	2	92.0%	2.23	2	0.23
ANA	Lukas Dostal	26	19	7	73.1%	3.48	1	-3.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • STL at home vs ANA: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	ANA 2 - 6 STL	STL	ANA
2026-03-08	ANA 0 - 4 STL	STL	ANA
2025-12-01	STL 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	STL
2025-03-16	STL 7 - 2 ANA	STL	STL
2025-03-07	ANA 3 - 4 STL	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	15	0	1.00
1	ANA	12	0	0.68
2	STL	8	0	0.65
2	ANA	12	2	1.05
3	STL	17	1	1.83
3	ANA	9	0	0.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 7 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.2 - 2.8