Florida Panthers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-03-16 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 4 - 2 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 42.1%
FLA: 57.9%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.02
FLA: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | NYI | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.808 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs FLA: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | NYI 5 - 2 FLA | NYI | NYI |
| 2026-03-01 | NYI 5 - 4 FLA | NYI | FLA |
| 2025-12-07 | FLA 4 - 1 NYI | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-16 | NYI 4 - 2 FLA | NYI | FLA |
| 2025-02-02 | FLA 6 - 3 NYI | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:00 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 04:48 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 06:29 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 12:16 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 12:33 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:53 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 4 - 2 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1
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