Utah Hockey Club at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2025-03-16 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 54.2%
UTA: 45.8%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.89
UTA: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | VAN | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.750 | 0.947 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VAN at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | UTA 6 - 2 VAN | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-12-05 | VAN 1 - 4 UTA | UTA | VAN |
| 2025-03-16 | VAN 1 - 3 UTA | UTA | VAN |
| 2025-02-23 | UTA 2 - 1 VAN | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-18 | UTA 3 - 2 VAN | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 12:04 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 02:37 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:29 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:08 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9