Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-03-16 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 58.6%
WPG: 41.4%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.01
WPG: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | SEA | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.884 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs WPG: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | SEA 5 - 3 WPG | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-10-23 | WPG 0 - 3 SEA | SEA | WPG |
| 2025-03-16 | SEA 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | SEA |
| 2025-01-16 | WPG 2 - 1 SEA | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-10-24 | SEA 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:58 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 15:23 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 19:43 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 11:42 | SEA | Goal |
| 4 | 01:47 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0