Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-03-17 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 40.9%
LAK: 59.1%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.09
LAK: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 4.8
Over 5.5: 37%
Over 6.5: 22%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | MIN | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.906 | 0.899 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • MIN at home vs LAK: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | LAK 4 - 2 MIN | LAK | LAK |
| 2026-01-03 | LAK 5 - 4 MIN | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-10-13 | MIN 4 - 3 LAK | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-03-17 | MIN 3 - 1 LAK | MIN | LAK |
| 2024-12-07 | LAK 4 - 1 MIN | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:59 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 01:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 15:22 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:04 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8
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