Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-03-18 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

DAL: 58.2%

ANA: 41.8%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.47

ANA: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DAL at home vs ANA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	ANA 3 - 1 DAL	ANA	ANA
2025-12-19	ANA 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	ANA
2025-11-06	DAL 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-18	DAL 4 - 3 ANA	DAL	DAL
2025-02-04	ANA 2 - 1 DAL	ANA	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	10	0	0.66
1	ANA	4	0	0.26
2	DAL	25	1	1.77
2	ANA	21	2	2.37
3	DAL	9	0	0.72
3	ANA	12	0	0.78
4	DAL	3	0	0.32
4	ANA	3	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9