Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-03-18 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

VAN: 56.2%

WPG: 43.8%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.48

WPG: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	22	20	2	90.9%	3.58	2	1.58
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	22	16	6	72.7%	3.89	6	-2.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • VAN at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	17	1	1.08
1	WPG	15	0	1.01
2	VAN	12	2	1.13
2	WPG	13	2	1.52
3	VAN	7	3	1.68
3	WPG	21	0	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1