Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2025-03-19 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 56.1%
COL: 43.9%
Expected Goals
TOR: 2.98
COL: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | TOR | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.914 | — |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • TOR at home vs COL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | TOR 1 - 4 COL | COL | TOR |
| 2026-01-12 | COL 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | COL |
| 2025-03-19 | TOR 2 - 1 COL | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-03-08 | COL 7 - 4 TOR | COL | COL |
| 2024-02-24 | COL 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 00:28 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 02:48 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:53 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9