Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-03-19 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 0 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

MIN: 60.9%

SEA: 39.1%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.93

SEA: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	34	34	0	100.0%	2.29	1	2.29
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	28	24	4	85.7%	2.80	2	-1.20

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • MIN at home vs SEA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MIN 5 - 2 SEA	MIN	MIN
2026-01-08	SEA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-08	SEA 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA
2025-03-19	MIN 4 - 0 SEA	MIN	MIN
2025-03-04	SEA 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	1	1.23
1	SEA	17	0	0.55
2	MIN	14	0	0.50
2	SEA	12	0	0.74
3	MIN	10	1	1.07
3	SEA	14	1	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 0 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.9 - 2.7