Calgary Flames at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-03-20 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 60.0%
CGY: 40.0%
Expected Goals
NJD: 2.96
CGY: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | NJD | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.955 | — |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • NJD at home vs CGY: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | CGY 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | CGY |
| 2025-03-20 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2024-11-01 | CGY 3 - 0 NJD | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-02-08 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2023-12-09 | CGY 2 - 4 NJD | NJD | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:09 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 19:32 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 11:58 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 05:25 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 19:48 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 16:40 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 15:40 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 06:50 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0