NYR vs TOR - 2025-03-20
2025-03-20 • Madison Square Garden
NYR 3 - 4 TOR
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 68.8%
TOR: 31.2%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.95
TOR: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 11-4-2 | 0.918 SV% | 2.54 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:30 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 19:12 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 19:50 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:22 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:16 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 14:26 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:25 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
NYR 3 - 4 TOR
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0