Florida Panthers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-03-20 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 1 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

CBJ: 46.4%

FLA: 53.6%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.68

FLA: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	29	28	1	96.6%	2.92	2	1.92
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	25	25	0	100.0%	2.74	1	2.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CBJ at home vs FLA: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	FLA 2 - 1 CBJ	FLA	FLA
2026-03-05	CBJ 4 - 2 FLA	CBJ	CBJ
2025-12-06	FLA 7 - 6 CBJ	FLA	FLA
2025-03-20	CBJ 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-06	FLA 3 - 0 CBJ	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	12	0	0.49
1	FLA	17	1	0.79
2	CBJ	21	1	1.01
2	FLA	15	1	1.10
3	CBJ	26	0	1.23
3	FLA	13	0	0.94
4	CBJ	0	0	0.00
4	FLA	1	0	0.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 0 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.7 - 2.9