Montreal Canadiens at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-03-20 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 48.3%

MTL: 51.7%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.17

MTL: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYI at home vs MTL: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NYI 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NYI
2026-03-21	MTL 7 - 3 NYI	MTL	MTL
2026-02-26	MTL 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MTL
2025-03-20	NYI 4 - 3 MTL	NYI	MTL
2024-12-03	MTL 2 - 1 NYI	MTL	NYI

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	05:37	NYI	Goal
1	11:58	NYI	Goal
2	16:40	NYI	Goal
3	02:31	NYI	Goal
3	04:32	NYI	Goal
3	14:16	NYI	Goal
4	03:37	NYI	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0