Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-03-20 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

STL: 65.9%

VAN: 34.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.58

VAN: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	18	15	3	83.3%	1.41	0	-1.59
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	29	25	4	86.2%	2.69	2	-1.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs VAN: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	17	0	0.79
1	VAN	6	0	0.18
2	STL	13	0	0.59
2	VAN	16	0	0.76
3	STL	8	2	0.93
3	VAN	7	0	0.29
4	STL	5	0	0.38
4	VAN	2	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7