Anaheim Ducks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-03-20 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (74% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 74.5%

ANA: 25.5%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.93

ANA: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Justus Annunen	35	31	4	88.6%	3.56	3	-0.44
ANA	John Gibson	34	33	1	97.1%	1.58	0	0.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NSH at home vs ANA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	NSH 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-04-07	ANA 0 - 5 NSH	NSH	ANA
2025-10-21	NSH 2 - 5 ANA	ANA	NSH
2025-03-20	NSH 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	NSH
2025-03-14	ANA 2 - 1 NSH	ANA	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	0	0.51
1	ANA	15	1	0.97
2	NSH	11	0	0.45
2	ANA	19	1	1.39
3	NSH	18	0	0.62
3	ANA	14	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 74.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.6