Buffalo Sabres at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-03-20 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 63.4%
BUF: 36.6%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.21
BUF: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • UTA at home vs BUF: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | UTA 5 - 2 BUF | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-04 | BUF 1 - 2 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-03-20 | UTA 5 - 2 BUF | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-07 | BUF 2 - 5 UTA | UTA | UTA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UTA | 16 | 2 | 1.17 |
| 1 | BUF | 18 | 2 | 2.02 |
| 2 | UTA | 18 | 1 | 1.21 |
| 2 | BUF | 12 | 0 | 0.82 |
| 3 | UTA | 21 | 4 | 3.12 |
| 3 | BUF | 15 | 0 | 0.85 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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