Carolina Hurricanes at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-03-20 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 37.1%
CAR: 62.9%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.38
CAR: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 3.5
Over 5.5: 20%
Over 6.5: 11%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | SJS | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.941 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs CAR: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | CAR 1 - 4 SJS | SJS | CAR |
| 2025-10-14 | SJS 1 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-20 | SJS 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-12-10 | CAR 3 - 2 SJS | CAR | CAR |
| 2023-10-27 | CAR 3 - 0 SJS | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:00 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 10:31 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:58 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:18 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.2
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.4 - 2.9
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