Carolina Hurricanes at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-03-20 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

SJS: 25.2%

CAR: 74.8%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.27

CAR: 3.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

SJS

Georgi Romanov - 0-6-0 | 0.877 SV% | 3.89 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Georgi Romanov	29	26	3	89.7%	2.83	2	-0.17
CAR	Frederik Andersen	25	24	1	96.0%	3.02	1	2.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SJS at home vs CAR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	CAR 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	CAR
2025-10-14	SJS 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-20	SJS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-10	CAR 3 - 2 SJS	CAR	CAR
2023-10-27	CAR 3 - 0 SJS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	10	1	1.37
1	CAR	13	0	0.78
2	SJS	9	0	0.74
2	CAR	16	0	0.99
3	SJS	15	0	0.91
3	CAR	14	2	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.3 - 3.8