Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-03-21 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

PIT: 67.0%

CBJ: 33.0%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.46

CBJ: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PIT at home vs CBJ: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	PIT 3 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	PIT
2026-01-04	CBJ 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-28	CBJ 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	CBJ
2025-10-25	PIT 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-21	PIT 6 - 3 CBJ	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	16	1	1.17
1	CBJ	21	0	1.20
2	PIT	17	0	0.85
2	CBJ	21	4	2.14
3	PIT	14	1	1.52
3	CBJ	26	2	1.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9