Carolina Hurricanes at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 7 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 44.4%

CAR: 55.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.87

CAR: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 51%

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	David Rittich	36	34	2	94.4%	2.91	1	0.91
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	25	18	7	72.0%	2.34	2	-4.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs CAR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-01	CAR 3 - 2 LAK	CAR	CAR
2025-10-18	LAK 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-22	LAK 7 - 2 CAR	LAK	CAR
2025-02-01	CAR 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	CAR
2024-01-15	CAR 2 - 5 LAK	LAK	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	8	0	0.52
1	CAR	17	0	0.82
2	LAK	10	0	0.39
2	CAR	20	1	1.39
3	LAK	16	2	1.43
3	CAR	16	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 7 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.9 - 2.7