Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 6 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

WSH: 55.1%

FLA: 44.9%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.76

FLA: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • WSH at home vs FLA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	WSH 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	WSH
2025-12-29	FLA 5 - 3 WSH	FLA	FLA
2025-11-13	FLA 6 - 3 WSH	FLA	WSH
2025-03-22	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH
2025-02-04	WSH 6 - 3 FLA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	23	0	1.59
1	FLA	16	2	1.28
2	WSH	12	1	0.97
2	FLA	19	0	0.80
3	WSH	12	0	0.32
3	FLA	18	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 6 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0