Tampa Bay Lightning at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 6 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 49.3%

TBL: 50.7%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.15

TBL: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • UTA at home vs TBL: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-26	TBL 2 - 0 UTA	TBL	TBL
2025-11-02	UTA 2 - 4 TBL	TBL	UTA
2025-03-27	TBL 8 - 0 UTA	TBL	UTA
2025-03-22	UTA 6 - 4 TBL	UTA	TBL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	06:42	UTA	Goal
1	17:42	UTA	Goal
1	18:49	UTA	Goal
2	05:22	UTA	Goal
2	05:58	UTA	Goal
2	17:23	UTA	Goal
2	17:53	UTA	Goal
3	01:10	UTA	Goal
3	02:54	UTA	Goal
3	19:03	UTA	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 6 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2