Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

NJD: 47.4%

OTT: 52.6%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.89

OTT: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 43%

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 14-8-5 | 0.881 SV% | 2.95 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	19	16	3	84.2%	2.35	0	-0.65
OTT	Linus Ullmark	27	25	2	92.6%	2.44	0	0.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NJD at home vs OTT: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-01-19	NJD 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NJD	9	0.71
1	OTT	11	0.89
2	NJD	10	0.53
2	OTT	10	1.13
3	NJD	21	1.19
3	OTT	7	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4