Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

NJD: 44.5%

OTT: 55.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.83

OTT: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs OTT: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-01-19	NJD 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NJD	9	0.71
1	OTT	11	0.89
2	NJD	10	0.53
2	OTT	10	1.13
3	NJD	21	1.19
3	OTT	7	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3