Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

VGK: 67.0%

DET: 33.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.63

DET: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs DET: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	DET 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	DET
2025-11-04	VGK 1 - 0 DET	VGK	VGK
2025-03-22	VGK 6 - 3 DET	VGK	VGK
2025-03-16	DET 3 - 0 VGK	DET	DET
2024-03-09	VGK 5 - 3 DET	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	19	0	1.06
1	DET	19	1	1.03
2	VGK	16	1	1.10
2	DET	14	0	0.90
3	VGK	16	2	1.73
3	DET	15	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9