Detroit Red Wings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 49.5%

DET: 50.5%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.43

DET: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs DET: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	DET 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-11-04	VGK 1 - 0 DET	VGK	VGK
2025-03-22	VGK 6 - 3 DET	VGK	DET
2025-03-16	DET 3 - 0 VGK	DET	DET
2024-03-09	VGK 5 - 3 DET	VGK	VGK

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	04:47	DET	Goal
1	11:47	VGK	Goal
1	16:32	VGK	Goal
1	19:57	VGK	Goal
2	01:49	VGK	Goal
2	07:07	VGK	Goal
2	08:02	VGK	Goal
3	09:36	VGK	Goal
3	17:59	VGK	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9