Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

EDM: 64.8%

SEA: 35.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.54

SEA: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	32	28	4	87.5%	2.80	2	-1.20
SEA	Joey Daccord	29	24	5	82.8%	3.52	1	-1.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • EDM at home vs SEA: 9-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-03	EDM 3 - 1 SEA	EDM	SEA
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	14	0	0.60
1	SEA	15	1	1.00
2	EDM	17	0	1.27
2	SEA	13	0	0.66
3	EDM	14	1	1.65
3	SEA	13	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9