Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

SJS: 52.3%

BOS: 47.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.27

BOS: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

SJS

Alexandar Georgiev - 15-26-4 | 0.875 SV% | 3.71 GAA

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Alexandar Georgiev	23	22	1	95.7%	1.78	0	0.78
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	21	18	3	85.7%	3.49	4	0.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	BOS 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	BOS
2025-11-23	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	BOS
2025-03-22	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	SJS
2025-01-20	BOS 6 - 3 SJS	BOS	BOS
2023-11-30	BOS 3 - 0 SJS	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	9	0	0.34
1	BOS	13	0	0.51
2	SJS	11	1	1.05
2	BOS	10	0	0.71
3	SJS	10	3	2.10
3	BOS	14	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9