Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-03-22 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 57.8%
BOS: 42.2%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.24
BOS: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | SJS | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.971 | 0.897 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs BOS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | BOS 2 - 4 SJS | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-11-23 | SJS 3 - 1 BOS | SJS | BOS |
| 2025-03-22 | SJS 3 - 1 BOS | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-01-20 | BOS 6 - 3 SJS | BOS | BOS |
| 2023-11-30 | BOS 3 - 0 SJS | BOS | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:13 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 16:50 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:37 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:10 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 1 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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