Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-03-23 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 7 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 59.1%
PHI: 40.9%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.86
PHI: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | CHI | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | — |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs PHI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | CHI 1 - 3 PHI | PHI | CHI |
| 2025-03-23 | CHI 7 - 4 PHI | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-11-23 | PHI 3 - 2 CHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-30 | PHI 1 - 5 CHI | CHI | PHI |
| 2024-02-21 | CHI 1 - 3 PHI | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:59 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 07:14 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 08:01 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 08:13 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 11:59 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:12 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 02:37 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:43 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:14 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:27 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 02:13 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 7 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.9 - 3.1