Buffalo Sabres at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-03-23 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 66.0%

BUF: 34.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.75

BUF: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 7.3

Over 5.5: 78%

Over 6.5: 62%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs BUF: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-05	WPG 4 - 1 BUF	WPG	WPG
2025-12-01	BUF 5 - 1 WPG	BUF	BUF
2025-03-23	WPG 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	WPG
2024-12-05	BUF 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-03	BUF 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	BUF

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	09:15	BUF	Goal
2	02:05	WPG	Goal
2	18:46	BUF	Goal
3	07:13	BUF	Goal
3	07:41	BUF	Goal
3	13:21	BUF	Goal
3	16:32	BUF	Goal
3	19:13	BUF	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.8 - 2.8