WPG vs BUF - 2025-03-23
2025-03-23 • Canada Life Centre
WPG 3 - 5 BUF
🚨 Upset Loss (87% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 86.7%
BUF: 13.3%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.53
BUF: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 10-12-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:15 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 02:05 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 18:46 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 07:13 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 07:41 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 13:21 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 16:32 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:13 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 86.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
WPG 3 - 5 BUF
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8