Nashville Predators at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-03-23 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 1 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

STL: 52.9%

NSH: 47.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.14

NSH: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 39%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	32	31	1	96.9%	3.45	1	2.45
NSH	Justus Annunen	18	14	4	77.8%	3.06	3	-0.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • STL at home vs NSH: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	NSH 6 - 5 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-12-27	STL 3 - 2 NSH	STL	STL
2025-12-15	STL 2 - 5 NSH	NSH	STL
2025-12-11	NSH 7 - 2 STL	NSH	STL
2025-03-27	NSH 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	12	1	0.92
1	NSH	10	0	0.32
2	STL	7	0	0.25
2	NSH	16	0	1.11
3	STL	11	2	1.89
3	NSH	24	1	2.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9