Carolina Hurricanes at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-03-23 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

ANA: 29.9%

CAR: 70.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.19

CAR: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	37	32	5	86.5%	5.82	6	0.82
CAR	Frederik Andersen	37	35	2	94.6%	4.06	3	2.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs CAR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	CAR 5 - 2 ANA	CAR	CAR
2025-10-16	ANA 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-23	ANA 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-01-12	CAR 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CAR
2024-01-11	CAR 6 - 3 ANA	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	13	1	0.97
1	CAR	18	2	1.43
2	ANA	13	0	0.67
2	CAR	24	2	2.17
3	ANA	26	2	2.43
3	CAR	20	2	2.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.2 - 3.4