Carolina Hurricanes at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-03-23 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 57.6%
CAR: 42.4%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.91
CAR: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | ANA | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | — |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs CAR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | CAR 5 - 2 ANA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-16 | ANA 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | ANA |
| 2025-03-23 | ANA 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | ANA |
| 2025-01-12 | CAR 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | CAR |
| 2024-01-11 | CAR 6 - 3 ANA | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 07:59 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:04 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 14:37 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:32 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:37 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:13 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:02 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9