Vancouver Canucks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-03-24 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 58.4%

VAN: 41.6%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.32

VAN: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	32	27	5	84.4%	6.44	7	1.44
VAN	Thatcher Demko	29	25	4	86.2%	4.73	3	0.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs VAN: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	VAN 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-12-14	NJD 1 - 2 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-24	NJD 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	NJD
2024-10-30	VAN 0 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-01-06	NJD 4 - 6 VAN	VAN	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	0	0.82
1	VAN	9	1	0.95
2	NJD	12	0	1.00
2	VAN	12	0	0.84
3	NJD	13	1	1.11
3	VAN	24	4	2.26
4	NJD	4	1	0.75
4	VAN	4	0	0.39
5	NJD	4	1	1.05
5	VAN	4	2	2.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6