Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-03-24 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 58.0%
CBJ: 42.0%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.19
CBJ: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | NYI | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.928 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs CBJ: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 | CBJ 4 - 2 NYI | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-11-02 | NYI 3 - 2 CBJ | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-04-17 | CBJ 6 - 1 NYI | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-03-24 | NYI 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | NYI |
| 2025-01-20 | NYI 3 - 1 CBJ | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:16 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:41 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 05:31 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 17:13 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 19:12 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 12:56 | NYI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0