Detroit Red Wings at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-03-24 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 60.2%

DET: 39.8%

Expected Goals

UTA: 2.95

DET: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs DET: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	UTA 4 - 1 DET	UTA	UTA
2025-12-17	DET 1 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-24	UTA 1 - 5 DET	DET	UTA
2025-03-06	DET 2 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	13	0	0.90
1	DET	4	0	0.26
2	UTA	13	1	0.92
2	DET	6	1	0.69
3	UTA	9	0	0.44
3	DET	12	2	1.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0