Nashville Predators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-03-25 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (79% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 79.5%

NSH: 20.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.90

NSH: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 45%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	16	13	3	81.2%	2.22	3	-0.78
NSH	Juuse Saros	35	34	1	97.1%	3.46	2	2.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs NSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	NSH 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-06	CAR 6 - 3 NSH	CAR	CAR
2025-03-25	CAR 1 - 3 NSH	NSH	CAR
2024-12-23	NSH 5 - 2 CAR	NSH	CAR
2023-12-27	NSH 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	0	0.65
1	NSH	13	1	0.86
2	CAR	23	2	2.03
2	NSH	4	1	0.38
3	CAR	12	0	0.78
3	NSH	9	1	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 79.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.9 - 2.6