Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-03-25 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 49.4%
VGK: 50.6%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.25
VGK: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 46%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | MIN | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.902 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs VGK: 2-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | VGK 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | VGK |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN 3 - 2 VGK | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-05-01 | MIN 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | MIN |
| 2025-04-29 | VGK 3 - 2 MIN | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-04-26 | MIN 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:23 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 08:22 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 01:42 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 14:57 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 16:57 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:28 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 2.2 - 3.2