Washington Capitals at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-03-25 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 59.6%
WSH: 40.4%
Expected Goals
WPG: 2.99
WSH: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | WPG | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.960 | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WPG at home vs WSH: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | WPG 5 - 1 WSH | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-11-26 | WSH 4 - 3 WPG | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-25 | WPG 3 - 2 WSH | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-02-01 | WSH 4 - 5 WPG | WPG | WSH |
| 2024-03-24 | WSH 3 - 0 WPG | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:50 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 19:20 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 19:48 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 16:00 | WPG | Goal |
| 4 | 01:28 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0