Washington Capitals at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-03-25 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

WPG: 54.5%

WSH: 45.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.08

WSH: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs WSH: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	WPG 5 - 1 WSH	WPG	WSH
2025-11-26	WSH 4 - 3 WPG	WSH	WSH
2025-03-25	WPG 3 - 2 WSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-01	WSH 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WSH
2024-03-24	WSH 3 - 0 WPG	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	0	0.43
1	WSH	12	0	0.77
2	WPG	11	0	0.68
2	WSH	17	0	0.58
3	WPG	13	1	0.81
3	WSH	16	0	0.72
4	WPG	1	0	0.10
4	WSH	2	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2