Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-03-25 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

COL: 74.9%

DET: 25.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 2.96

DET: 2.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs DET: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	COL 0 - 2 DET	DET	COL
2026-01-31	DET 0 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-25	COL 5 - 2 DET	COL	COL
2024-12-07	DET 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-03-06	COL 7 - 2 DET	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	12	1	0.87
1	DET	13	1	0.80
2	COL	16	0	0.87
2	DET	15	1	1.10
3	COL	14	1	1.71
3	DET	12	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.0 - 2.3