New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-03-25 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 1 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 45.9%
NYR: 54.1%
Expected Goals
LAK: 2.67
NYR: 2.68
Total Goals
Median: 3.8
Over 5.5: 29%
Over 6.5: 16%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | LAK | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.833 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.880 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs NYR: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | NYR 1 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2026-01-20 | LAK 4 - 3 NYR | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-25 | LAK 3 - 1 NYR | LAK | NYR |
| 2024-12-14 | NYR 1 - 5 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-01-20 | LAK 2 - 1 NYR | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:10 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 10:54 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 17:48 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:45 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 1 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.7 - 2.7
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