Vancouver Canucks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-03-26 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 52.0%

VAN: 48.0%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.83

VAN: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYI at home vs VAN: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-12-19	NYI 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	NYI
2025-03-26	NYI 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	NYI
2024-11-14	VAN 2 - 5 NYI	NYI	VAN
2024-01-09	NYI 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	18	1	1.08
1	VAN	10	0	0.55
2	NYI	21	0	1.26
2	VAN	22	0	1.42
3	NYI	14	0	0.64
3	VAN	14	2	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1