New Jersey Devils at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-03-26 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 58.1%
NJD: 41.9%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.12
NJD: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | CHI | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.892 | 0.850 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CHI at home vs NJD: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | CHI 3 - 4 NJD | NJD | CHI |
| 2025-03-26 | CHI 3 - 5 NJD | NJD | CHI |
| 2024-12-14 | NJD 4 - 1 CHI | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-01-05 | NJD 4 - 2 CHI | NJD | NJD |
| 2023-11-05 | CHI 2 - 4 NJD | NJD | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:23 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 06:50 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 09:06 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 03:14 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 05:26 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 11:01 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 17:10 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 19:47 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0