New Jersey Devils at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-03-26 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

CHI: 39.1%

NJD: 60.9%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.10

NJD: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	21	16	5	76.2%	3.34	3	-1.66
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	24	21	3	87.5%	1.70	1	-1.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CHI at home vs NJD: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	NJD 5 - 3 CHI	NJD	NJD
2025-11-12	CHI 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-03-26	CHI 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-12-14	NJD 4 - 1 CHI	NJD	NJD
2024-01-05	NJD 4 - 2 CHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	7	0	0.38
1	NJD	15	1	0.93
2	CHI	9	0	0.31
2	NJD	12	0	0.72
3	CHI	16	1	1.01
3	NJD	10	2	1.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1