Montreal Canadiens at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-03-27 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 58.1%
MTL: 41.9%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.24
MTL: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 7.4
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 63%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | PHI | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.881 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PHI at home vs MTL: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | PHI 4 - 2 MTL | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-12-16 | MTL 1 - 4 PHI | PHI | MTL |
| 2025-11-04 | MTL 4 - 5 PHI | PHI | MTL |
| 2025-04-05 | MTL 3 - 2 PHI | MTL | PHI |
| 2025-03-27 | PHI 6 - 4 MTL | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:55 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 07:55 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 10:13 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 11:15 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 02:15 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 10:09 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 11:43 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 13:34 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 13:52 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 16:47 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 6 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.2 - 3.3
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