Toronto Maple Leafs at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-03-27 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 6 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

SJS: 59.5%

TOR: 40.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.50

TOR: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 7.7

Over 5.5: 76%

Over 6.5: 63%

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs TOR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	SJS 4 - 1 TOR	SJS	SJS
2025-12-11	TOR 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	TOR
2025-03-27	SJS 6 - 5 TOR	SJS	SJS
2025-03-03	TOR 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	TOR
2024-01-09	TOR 7 - 1 SJS	TOR	TOR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	07:50	SJS	Goal
1	14:40	SJS	Goal
1	17:45	SJS	Goal
2	01:39	SJS	Goal
2	04:46	SJS	Goal
2	13:18	SJS	Goal
2	15:13	SJS	Goal
3	03:02	SJS	Goal
3	19:01	SJS	Goal
3	19:46	SJS	Goal
5	00:00	SJS	Goal
5	00:00	SJS	Goal
5	00:00	SJS	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 6 - 5 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2