Utah Hockey Club at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-03-28 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

FLA: 57.7%

UTA: 42.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.87

UTA: 2.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	15	14	1	93.3%	2.01	0	1.01
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	32	30	2	93.8%	3.70	3	1.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs UTA: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	FLA 3 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-12-10	UTA 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	UTA
2025-03-28	FLA 2 - 1 UTA	FLA	FLA
2025-01-08	UTA 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	11	0	0.51
1	UTA	12	0	0.61
2	FLA	16	3	1.66
2	UTA	3	0	0.47
3	FLA	18	0	0.85
3	UTA	14	0	0.89
4	FLA	6	0	0.69
4	UTA	1	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.9 - 2.2