Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-03-28 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 73.8%
MTL: 26.2%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.96
MTL: 2.20
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 43%
Over 6.5: 30%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | CAR | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.727 | 0.922 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CAR at home vs MTL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | CAR 1 - 3 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2026-03-24 | MTL 5 - 2 CAR | MTL | CAR |
| 2026-01-01 | CAR 5 - 7 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2025-04-16 | MTL 4 - 2 CAR | MTL | CAR |
| 2025-03-28 | CAR 4 - 1 MTL | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:23 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 00:41 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:46 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:10 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:00 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 73.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 4.0 - 2.2
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