Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-03-28 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 50.5%
VGK: 49.5%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.24
VGK: 3.64
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | CHI | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.850 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • CHI at home vs VGK: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | CHI 3 - 2 VGK | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-12-02 | VGK 4 - 3 CHI | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-28 | CHI 3 - 5 VGK | VGK | CHI |
| 2025-02-27 | VGK 7 - 5 CHI | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-18 | CHI 5 - 3 VGK | CHI | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:15 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:41 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 07:34 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 16:14 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 16:29 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 02:06 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 16:49 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:16 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 2.2 - 3.6