New York Rangers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-03-28 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 47.6%

NYR: 52.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.05

NYR: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	ANA 5 - 3 NYR	ANA	ANA
2025-12-15	NYR 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-28	ANA 5 - 4 NYR	ANA	NYR
2024-10-26	NYR 2 - 1 ANA	NYR	NYR
2024-01-21	ANA 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	25	0	1.48
1	NYR	15	1	1.26
2	ANA	13	0	0.86
2	NYR	18	0	0.88
3	ANA	10	0	0.47
3	NYR	16	0	1.51
4	ANA	1	0	0.11
4	NYR	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0