Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 7 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

PHI: 54.7%

BUF: 45.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.41

BUF: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs BUF: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-14	BUF 5 - 2 PHI	BUF	BUF
2025-12-18	BUF 5 - 3 PHI	BUF	BUF
2025-12-03	PHI 5 - 2 BUF	PHI	PHI
2025-04-17	BUF 5 - 4 PHI	BUF	BUF
2025-03-29	PHI 7 - 4 BUF	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	18	0	1.04
1	BUF	12	0	1.02
2	PHI	12	0	0.54
2	BUF	12	1	1.36
3	PHI	16	1	1.10
3	BUF	11	1	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 7 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2