Buffalo Sabres at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-03-29 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 7 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 61.4%
BUF: 38.6%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.80
BUF: 2.62
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | PHI | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.667 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • PHI at home vs BUF: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-14 | BUF 5 - 2 PHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-12-18 | BUF 5 - 3 PHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-12-03 | PHI 5 - 2 BUF | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-04-17 | BUF 5 - 4 PHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-29 | PHI 7 - 4 BUF | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:57 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 05:56 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 05:27 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 14:11 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:36 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 08:13 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 01:41 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 15:34 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 15:05 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 10:13 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 06:39 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 7 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.8 - 2.6