New Jersey Devils at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 59.0%

NJD: 41.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.96

NJD: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	33	28	5	84.8%	2.22	0	-2.78
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	24	22	2	91.7%	2.45	1	0.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • MIN at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN
2025-10-22	NJD 4 - 1 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-31	NJD 3 - 2 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-29	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN
2023-11-02	MIN 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	0.63
1	NJD	12	0	0.50
2	MIN	13	0	0.81
2	NJD	20	0	0.88
3	MIN	12	1	1.01
3	NJD	13	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2