New Jersey Devils at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-03-29 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 53.5%
NJD: 46.5%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.81
NJD: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | MIN | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.912 | 0.913 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs NJD: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | MIN 2 - 5 NJD | NJD | MIN |
| 2025-10-22 | NJD 4 - 1 MIN | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-03-31 | NJD 3 - 2 MIN | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-03-29 | MIN 2 - 5 NJD | NJD | MIN |
| 2023-11-02 | MIN 3 - 5 NJD | NJD | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:31 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 05:46 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 00:29 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 16:46 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 14:50 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 05:22 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 03:13 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.8 - 3.2