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2025-26 Season Live

New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 6 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
SJS: 50.2%
NYR: 49.8%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.11
NYR: 3.38
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 51%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
StatSJSNYR
Season SV%0.8960.910
Last 5 SV%0.8620.912
SV% vs Opponent0.750
GAA3.362.51
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • SJS at home vs NYR: 2-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-23SJS 3 - 1 NYRSJSNYR
2025-10-23NYR 5 - 6 SJSSJSNYR
2025-03-29SJS 1 - 6 NYRNYRSJS
2024-11-14NYR 3 - 2 SJSNYRNYR
2024-01-23SJS 3 - 2 NYRSJSNYR

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
112:04NYRGoal
113:58NYRGoal
204:48NYRGoal
303:08NYRGoal
305:47NYRGoal
316:53NYRGoal
317:46NYRGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 6 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.4