New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 6 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 56.2%

NYR: 43.8%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.01

NYR: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	SJS 3 - 1 NYR	SJS	SJS
2025-10-23	NYR 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	NYR
2025-03-29	SJS 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	SJS
2024-11-14	NYR 3 - 2 SJS	NYR	NYR
2024-01-23	SJS 3 - 2 NYR	SJS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	9	0	0.35
1	NYR	16	0	0.73
2	SJS	14	1	0.98
2	NYR	15	0	0.74
3	SJS	15	0	0.61
3	NYR	16	2	2.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 6 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3